Showing posts with label 09.51 AM. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 09.51 AM. Show all posts

USDINR,EURINR,GBPINR Currency Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

USDINR,EURINR,GBPINR Currency Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

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USDINR

Although USDINR pair opened higher on Tuesday at 67. 20,  it failed to sustain and turned lower and finally settled at  67.11 losing 0.23%. The pair has once again ended just  below the trend line. Going forward, if pair  surpass the trend line resistance of 67.15 then the  positive momentum will remain intact. If it fails to break then a correction can be seen till 67.03 then 66.90.

GBPINR

GBPINR finally breached the immediate resistance of 88.35 and edged higher on Tuesday and ended at 88.5 4  gaining 0.40%. Now the next resistance is at 88.90 of the slating trend line. While, supports are at 8 8.35  then 87.85. Ahead pair is likely to h of 88.90- 89.00 mark and buying is recommended on dips  around 88.30 - 88.35 levels.

 EURINR

 After continuous up move the EURINR pair opened at  76.10 and tested low of 75.90 there by it finally settled at  76.08, forming bearish Doji candle stick. Pair is s till  quoting within the rising trend channel, as long as it  remains within the channel the pa gains. While a breakdown of 75.88 will pull down th e pair  till the crucial support of 75.60. On higher side  resistances are seen at 76.15 then 76.65.

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM


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USD/JPY. Pair after opening at 100.29and made a high of 99.91 and was seen buying pressure, the pair had bottom out and made a low of 98.98 and from there the pair had reversed and now trading near its 08Dma 102.35, the pair is not able to go below 99.levels and that has emerge as a strong support so any trade above 100.50 is a breakout buying in the pair

Fundamental Overview

Yen is trading at 100.37, depreciating marginally against the US dollar as the later rebounded from the lows that were seen the previous day. All attention would be on the Jackson Hole symposium and the outcome would drive the Yen. We would prefer buying the USDJPY pair near the 100.00 levels. 

GBP/USD Forex Strategy : Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

GBP/USD Forex Strategy :  Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

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TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.3139 made a low of 1.3127 , and saw some short covering from lower levels the pair is respecting the levels of 1.3100 as a resistance and 20DMA at 1.3096 and now that has become support and the pair is making inverted head and shoulder pattern on hourly chart so intraday dips shall be utilized to buy the pair

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.3181; remaining on a higher side as traders continued to exit short positions. There was no data supporting the move higher in yesterday’s session and focus would be on the UK GDP data that is scheduled to be reported later in the week. Expect rallies to be sold with 1.3250 as the immediate resistance.

Economic Data & News
TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
14:00:00 GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals 38.5K 40.1K

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.1322 Made a high of 1.1355, and was trading with a positive bias, during the day ,but the pair has violated the recent range and any rise close to its 50DMA at 1.1133 is likely to find resistance and strong resistance near 200DMA at 1.1152 and now trading above the major resistance so if not able to pass 1.1366 is a shorting opportunity

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.1296, retreating from the 1.1340 levels which were seen after mixed PMI data was reported from the EU yesterday. Manufacturing and services PMI were reported higher than expected. Investors continue to remain on the sidelines before the key event scheduled for Friday but Euro is likely to remain in the 1.1050-1.14 range.

Economic Data & News
TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
11:30:00 EUR German GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 0.40% 0.40%

USDINR Currency Strategy Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

USDINR Currency Strategy Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM


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TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.23 and made a low of 67.10 and trading side wise session after pair breaking out few days back now 67.00-67.05 will act as a strong support in the pair on spot basis and any dip can be utilized to go long in the pair and short term resistance will come around 67.40 levels

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 94.61; rebounding from the lows that were seen yesterday. New home sales that were reported yesterday came in better than expected, pushing the dollar higher. Markets eagerly wait for the central bankers’ retreat starting from Thursday, looking for direction of future monetary actions

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS

19:15:00 USD Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 52.7 52.9
19:30:00 USD Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Jul) -0.40% 1.10%
19:30:00 USD Existing Home Sales (Jul) 5.51M 5.57M
20:00:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.825M -2.508M
20:00:00 USD Cushing Crude Oil Inventories -0.724M

Currency and Debt market : Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

Currency and Debt market : Aug 24, 2016, 09.51 AM

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  • Government bonds recovered losses  to end little changed, as investors  stepped up purchases after the previous day slump while awaiting clarity  on the monetary policy stance under  the central bank’s next governor
• The benchmark 7.59% bond maturing in 2026 ended at | 102.90 against  the previous close of | 102.92
• The benchmark 7.59% 2026 bond yield remained unchanged at 7.16%.

Forex (US$/INR)  

• The rupee rose for the first time in four sessions against the dollar, as the  dollar weakened on caution ahead of US data later evening
• The dollar index against six major  currencies ended little changed at  94.54 as strength in major currencies ahead of the meeting of central  bankers in Jackson Hole led to profit booking in the US dollar.

US$/INR derivatives strategy: Sell August Contract
 • In the currency futures market, the most traded dollar-rupee August  contract on the NSE ended at 67.12.  The August contract open interest  fell 5.13% from the previous day
 • September contract open interest was up 5.14% from the previous day
 • We expect the US dollar to meet supply pressure on rallies. Utilise  upsides in dollar to initiate short strategy.

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