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Debt market
• Government bonds bonds rose for a second day, hitting record highs, as the central bank’s move to ensure sufficient surplus cash at banks boosted demand for debt
• The benchmark 7.59% bond maturing in 2026 ended at | 103.31, highest since its issuance vs. the previous close of | 102.81
• The benchmark 7.59% 2026 bond yield ended at 7.10%, down 3 bps from previous close
Forex (US$/INR)
• The rupee rose to a two-month against the dollar, as weak US productivity data reduced hopes of an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve
• The dollar index against six major currencies ended at 95.65, down 0.55% from the previous close of 96.18 Equity
• Equity benchmarks ended over 1% lower on Wednesday to register the highest single day loss in percentage terms since June 24, the day of Brexit verdict amid intensified profit bookings
• The Sensex fell 310 points or 1.10% to 27774 while the Nifty lost 102 points or 1.24% to end at 8575 levels
• The broader markets also fell in line with the benchmarks as the BSE midcap and small cap indices lost ~1% each. The overall market breadth was negative with an A/D ratio of 1:2.26 on the BSE
Commodities Market
• Crude oil prices fell on Wednesday. They were unable to sustain gains as a rise in US oil inventories fuelled concerns on supply glut
• Gold prices ticked on the higher side as disappointing
US economic data
softened US dollar raising doubts whether the US Fed would raise rates
US$/INR derivatives strategy: Sell August Contract
• In the currency futures market, the most traded dollar-rupee August contract on the NSE ended at 66.90. The August contract open interest rose 10.74% from the previous day
• September contract open interest was up 20.74% from the previous day
• We expect the US dollar to meet supply pressure on rallies. Utilise upsides in dollar to go short
